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The most one can say is that people can be fairly good prophets when their wishes are realizable. But a truly objective approach is almost impossible, because in one form or another almost everyone is a nationalist... The most intelligent people seem capable of holding schizophrenic beliefs, or disregarding plain facts, of evading serious questions with debating-society repartees, or swallowing baseless rumours and of looking on indifferently while history is falsified.

George Orwell#102

TruthBiasNationalismObjectivity

About this quote

What does it mean?
People tend to predict futures that align with their desires, but true objectivity is rare because nationalism and bias cloud judgment.
In plain terms
We see what we want to see in the future, not what is actually there.
What can you take from it?
Avoid letting personal wishes distort your view of reality.

Where it applies

  • political analysis
  • media consumption
  • personal decision-making

Putting it to work

  • checking personal biases
  • seeking objective facts

Questions to consider

  • How much of your future outlook is based on wishful thinking?
  • Can true objectivity ever be achieved?

Another view

Complete objectivity may be impossible for humans regardless of effort.

More from George Orwell

  1. The Left as a whole failed to foresee the rise of Fascism and failed to grasp that the Nazis were dangerous even when they were on the verge of seizing power. …

    Permalink to quote #101
  2. I believe that it is possible to be more objective than most of us are, but that it involves a moral effort. One cannot get away from one's own subjective feel…

    Permalink to quote #103
  3. So far as I can see, all political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their o…

    Permalink to quote #100

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