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It can be tempting to look at the challenges in Iraq and conclude our best option is to pack up and go home. That may be satisfying in the short run, but I believe the consequences for American security would be devastating. If American forces were to step back from Baghdad before it is more secure, a contagion of violence could spill out across the entire country. In time, this violence could engulf the region. The terrorists could emerge from the chaos with a safe haven in Iraq to replace the one they had in Afghanistan, which they used to plan the attacks of September the 11th, 2001. For the safety of the American people, we cannot allow this to happen.

George W. Bush#246

WarPolicySecurityIraqRisk

About this quote

What does it mean?
Withdrawing from Iraq risks spreading violence and harming American security.
In plain terms
Leaving Iraq too soon could cause more danger.
What can you take from it?
Premature withdrawal from conflict zones can be dangerous.

Where it applies

  • war debates
  • policy decisions
  • security analysis

Putting it to work

  • arguing against withdrawal
  • assessing risks
  • justifying presence

Questions to consider

  • What are the risks of staying versus leaving?
  • How do you weigh short term versus long term security?

Another view

Prolonged presence can also have significant costs.

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