Any physical theory is always provisional, in the sense that it is only a hypothesis: you can never prove it. No matter how many times the results of experiments agree with some theory, you can never be sure that the next time the result will not contradict the theory. On the other hand, you can disprove a theory by finding even a single observation that disagrees with the predictions of the theory. As philosopher of science Karl Popper has emphasized, a good theory is characterized by the fact that it makes a number of predictions that could in principle be disproved or falsified by observation. Each time new experiments are observed to agree with the predictions the theory survives, and our confidence in it is increased; but if ever a new observation is found to disagree, we have to abandon or modify the theory.
About this quote
- What does it mean?
- Scientific theories are hypotheses that can never be definitively proven, only supported by evidence. A single contradictory observation can disprove a theory, which is a hallmark of a good scientific theory.
- In plain terms
- You can't prove a theory is absolutely true, but you can prove it false with one counterexample.
- What can you take from it?
- Accept theories as provisional until falsified by evidence.
Where it applies
Putting it to work
Questions to consider
- How do you know when to abandon a belief?
- What counts as evidence for you?
Another view
Some fields may struggle to produce clear falsifiable predictions.
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