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Clarke's Third Law doesn't work in reverse. Given that 'any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic,' it does not follow that 'any magical claim that anybody may make at any time is indistinguishable from a technological advance that well come some time in the future.' ... There have admittedly been occasions when authoritative, pontificating skeptics have come away with egg on their faces, even within their own lifetimes. But there have been a far greater number of occasions when magical claims have never been vindicated. An apparent magical claim might eventually turn out to be true. In any age there are so many magical claims that are, or could be, made. They can't all be true; many are mutually contradictory; and we have no reason to suppose that, simply by the act of sitting down and dreaming up a magical claim, we shall make it come true in some future technology. Some things that would surprise us today will come true in the future. But lots and lots of things that would surprise us today will not come true ever.

Arthur C. Clarke#71

TechnologyScienceMagicSkepticism

About this quote

What does it mean?
Advanced tech looks like magic, but magic claims aren't necessarily future tech. Many magical claims are contradictory and never proven true.
In plain terms
Magic might be future tech, but not all magic claims will happen.
What can you take from it?
Don't assume all magical claims will become real.

Where it applies

  • science fiction analysis
  • skeptic debates

Putting it to work

  • evaluate new claims critically
  • study tech history

Questions to consider

  • How do we distinguish magic from future tech?

Another view

Sometimes skeptical experts are wrong about the future.

More from Arthur C. Clarke

  1. When an official declares something false, chances are that it is. When he or she says it is absolutely false, chances are it is true. ... The overemphasis sti…

    Permalink to quote #70
  2. Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from doubletalk.

    Permalink to quote #72
  3. When, however, the lay public rallies round an idea that is denounced by distinguished but elderly scientists and supports that idea with great fervor and emot…

    Permalink to quote #69

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