A junkyard contains all the bits and pieces of a Boeing 747, dismembered and in disarray. A whirlwind happens to blow through the yard. What is the chance that after its passage a fully assembled 747, ready to fly, will be found standing there? So small as to be negligible, even if a tornado were to blow through enough junkyards to fill the whole Universe.
About this quote
- What does it mean?
- Hoyle uses the 747 tornado analogy to argue against random spontaneous generation of complex life.
- In plain terms
- Complex things like life cannot happen by pure chance like a tornado assembling a plane.
- What can you take from it?
- Complexity implies design or process, not random luck.
Where it applies
Putting it to work
Questions to consider
- How does order arise?
- Is chance enough for life?
Another view
The analogy ignores natural selection as a non-random force.
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