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Is it really likely that a National Planning Officer would have a better judgement of 'the number of cars, the number of generators, and the quantities of frozen foods we are likely to require in, say, five years,' than Ford or General Motors etc., and, even more important, would it even be desirable that various companies in an industry all act on the same guess?

Friedrich Hayek#10

EconomicsPlanningPredictionCoordinationCompetition

About this quote

What does it mean?
Central planners cannot predict specific needs better than competing firms acting independently.
In plain terms
Companies know more about what to make than a single planner.
What can you take from it?
Decentralized decisions outperform central planning.

Where it applies

  • government policy
  • industry regulation

Putting it to work

  • avoid central mandates
  • trust market signals

Questions to consider

  • Who knows best?
  • Can planning beat competition?

Another view

Central planning might succeed where markets fail to coordinate critical goods.

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