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About this quote

What does it mean?
Even a small chance is more valuable than a vague possibility.
In plain terms
A tiny probability beats a big maybe.
What can you take from it?
Value concrete odds over vague speculation.

Where it applies

  • planning
  • investment
  • risk analysis

Putting it to work

  • use statistical data
  • avoid overthinking

Questions to consider

  • Do you prefer certainty or possibility?
  • How do you measure risk?

Another view

It may overlook the value of imagination.

More from James Thurber

  1. Boys are perhaps beyond the range of anybody's sure understanding, at least when they are between the ages of eighteen months and ninety years.

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  2. Now I am not a cat man, but a dog man, and all felines can tell this at a glance - a sharp, vindictive glance.

    Permalink to quote #26
  3. 'Who are you?' the minstrel asked. 'I am the Golux,' said the Golux, proudly, 'the only Golux in the world, and not a mere Device.'

    Permalink to quote #23

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