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About this quote

What does it mean?
Forecasting future events is inherently challenging due to uncertainty.
In plain terms
Guessing the future is very hard.
What can you take from it?
Future predictions are rarely reliable.

Where it applies

  • investing
  • policy making
  • planning

Putting it to work

  • plan for scenarios
  • avoid overconfidence

Questions to consider

  • Why is the future hard to know?
  • Do you trust predictions?

Another view

Some fields make accurate short-term predictions.

More from Niels Bohr

  1. It is better to don't understand something true, than to understand something false.

    Permalink to quote #19
  2. Stop telling God what to do with his dice.

    Permalink to quote #21
  3. Never express yourself more clearly than you are able to think.

    Permalink to quote #18

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