This war with Russia is an absurd idea that will have a disastrous outcome for sure. But if for political reasons the conflict is unavoidable, then we must be convinced that we will not gain victory in one simple summary campaign. Thoughts on the distances to cover. We cannot absolutely defeat the enemy and occupy entire western Russia, from the Baltic Sea to the Black, in mere months. We would have to prepare ourselves for one long war and to proceed with shrewdness. First of all, a strong army group towards the North would have to conquer Leningrad and its surrounding territories. This would allow us to join the Finnish, in order to eliminate the red fleet from the Baltic Sea and to increase our infuence on Scandinavia. For the moment the armys of the center-south would have to only be left over until a line that connects Odessa-Kiev-Orsa-Lago Ilmen. Then, if sufficient time remains, the Armed North group could be left over for south-east from Leningrad towards Moscow, while the army group Center moves to the east. All the upcoming operations would have to be held back until 1942, when we would have to elaborate new plans based on the situation which will arise from that moment.
About this quote
- What does it mean?
- He predicts the war with Russia will be long and disastrous, recommending caution and clear objectives.
- In plain terms
- The Russia war would be long and hard; plan carefully and set limits.
- What can you take from it?
- Overextension invites long wars with high costs.
Where it applies
Putting it to work
Questions to consider
- How should leaders balance ambition with caution?
- Can foresight change outcomes?
Another view
Predictions can be accurate yet ignored by political leadership.
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