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Quote #23

Never cross a river because it is on average 4 feet deep.

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb

More from Nassim Nicholas Taleb

  1. ... we should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.
  2. Much of the research into humans' risk-avoidance machinery shows that it is antiquated and unfit for the modern world; it is made to counte…
  3. It is now the scientific consensus that our risk-avoidance mechanism is not mediated by the cognitive modules of our brain, but rather by t…
  4. [G]ain exposure to the envelope of serendipity.
  5. In practice, randomness is fundamentally incomplete information.
  6. [T]he same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more …
  7. Forecasting by bureacrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.
  8. Probability is a liberal art.

All Nassim Nicholas Taleb quotes

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  • It was a saying of Demetrius Phalereus, that 'Men having often abandoned what was visible… Athenaeus
  • Don't order one for the road, because the road is already laid out. Flip Wilson

Topics in this quote

  • risk
  • decision making
  • statistics
  • planning
  • safety

Related authors

  • Orson Scott Card
  • Friedrich Nietzsche
  • Oscar Wilde
  • Eric Hoffer
  • Bertrand Russell
  • Samuel Langhorne Clemens

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