Nassim Nicholas Taleb Quotes on Uncertainty
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[U]nlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.
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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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A casino is the only human venture I know where the probabilities are known.
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In practice, randomness is fundamentally incomplete information.