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Is dogmatic or scholastic theology less doubted in point of fact for claiming, as it does, to be in point of right undoubtable? And if not, what command over truth would this kind of theology really lose if, instead of absolute certainty, she only claimed reasonable probability for her conclusions? If we claim only reasonable probability, it will be as much as men who love the truth can ever at any given moment hope to have within their grasp. Pretty surely it will be more than we could have had, if we were unconscious of our liability to err.

William James#74

PhilosophyBeliefTruthScienceTheologyCertaintyDoubt

About this quote

What does it mean?
Claiming absolute certainty does not reduce doubt about theology. Accepting reasonable probability is more honest and still sufficient for those seeking truth.
In plain terms
Admitting uncertainty is more honest than claiming absolute truth.
What can you take from it?
Seek reasonable probability rather than impossible certainty.

Where it applies

  • evaluating religious claims
  • assessing scientific conclusions
  • philosophical debate

Putting it to work

  • use probabilistic reasoning
  • acknowledge fallibility

Questions to consider

  • Is certainty necessary for belief?
  • How much doubt is acceptable in seeking truth?

Another view

Some people find comfort in absolute claims rather than probabilities.

More from William James

  1. The gods we stand by are the gods we need and can use, the gods whose demands on us are reinforcements of our demands on ourselves and on one another. What I t…

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  2. I am well aware of how anarchic much of what I say may sound. Expressing myself thus abstractly and briefly, I may seem to despair of the very notion of truth.…

    Permalink to quote #75
  3. The transition from tenseness, self-responsibility, and worry, to equanimity, receptivity, and peace, is the most wonderful of all those shiftings of inner equ…

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