Skip to content
quotesby

About this quote

What does it mean?
Living systems are too complex to be predicted like simple physical objects; their history shapes their future in subtle ways.
In plain terms
Organisms are not simple balls that can be easily predicted; their past affects their future.
What can you take from it?
Complexity and history matter in predicting biological outcomes.

Where it applies

  • evolutionary biology
  • ecology
  • developmental science

Putting it to work

  • consider historical context
  • expect nonlinearity

Questions to consider

  • How does history constrain the future?
  • Are organisms really predictable?

Another view

Some systems do follow predictable physical laws despite complexity.

More from Stephen Jay Gould

  1. If you defend a behavior by arguing that people are programmed directly for it, then how do you continue to defend it if your speculation is wrong, for the beh…

    Permalink to quote #14
  2. Results rarely specify their causes unambiguously. If we have no direct evidence of fossils or human chronicles, if we are forced to infer a process only from …

    Permalink to quote #16
  3. But here I stop-short of any deterministic speculation that attributes specific behaviors to the possession of specific altruist or opportunist genes. Our gene…

    Permalink to quote #13

Related quotes

  1. Wallace's error on human intellect arose from the inadequacy of his rigid selectionism, not from a failure to apply it. And his argument repays our study today…

    Stephen Jay GouldStephen Jay Gould quote #18
  2. Organisms [...] are directed and limited by their past. They must remain imperfect in their form and function, and to that extent unpredictable since they are …

    Stephen Jay GouldStephen Jay Gould quote #29
  3. It is natural human impulse to think of evolution as a long chain of improvements, of a never-ending advance towards largeness and complexity - in a word, towa…

    Bill BrysonBill Bryson quote #49